The apparent inevitability of a Mark Cavendish win – chapter one billion

It was less than a day ago that I tried to get us all to appreciate the near-inevitability of a Mark Cavendish sprint win by pointing out that it had been less than a week since I’d tried to get us all to appreciate the near-inevitability of a Mark Cavendish sprint win. I then correctly concluded that I would have more opportunities to try and get this message across

So Mark Cavendish wins are inevitable then?

No, they’re not. They’re really, really not. This is very much the point. The inevitability is an illusion created the moment he crosses the line. Up until that point, the odds are frequently stacked against him. Today he conquered the enormous distance and hills that had shed other sprinters and then ran into the finish with no team-mates in front of him. He was too far from the front, so he launched his sprint early and won by about a foot.

It was inevitable.